The Nuclear Tipping Point Why States Reconsider Their Nuclear Choices

by Campbell, Kurt M.; Einhorn, Robert J.; Reiss, Mitchell B.

• ISBN13: 9780815713302
• ISBN10: 0815713304
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2004-06-23
• Publisher: Brookings Institution Press

Summary

" For those focused on the risks of proliferation among states, "The Nuclear Tipping Point" should be required reading . . . . one hopes that the experts will take note of its insights about future nonproliferation challenges." --" The Next Nuclear Wave, " by Jon B. Wolfsthal, "Foreign Affairs," Jan/Feb 2005

Table of Contents

Foreword	p. vii
Acknowledgments	p. xi
Nuclear Past and Present
The Nuclear Tipping Point: Prospects for a World of Many Nuclear Weapons States	p. 3
Reconsidering a Nuclear Future: Why Countries Might Cross over to the Other Side	p. 18
Will the Abstainers Reconsider? Focusing on Individual Cases	p. 32
Case Studies
Egypt: Frustrated but Still on a Non-Nuclear Course	p. 43
Syria: Can the Myth Be Maintained without Nukes?	p. 83
Saudi Arabia: The Calculations of Uncertainty	p. 111
Turkey: Nuclear Choices amongst Dangerous Neighbors	p. 145
Germany: The Model Case, A Historical Imperative	p. 175
Japan: Thinking the Unthinkable	p. 218
South Korea: The Tyranny of Geography and the Vexations of History	p. 254
Taiwan's Hsin Chu Program: Deterrence, Abandonment, and Honor	p. 293
Prospects for a Nuclear Future
Avoiding the Tipping Point: Concluding Observations	p. 317
About the Authors	p. 349
Index	p. 355
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