Philippines into the 21st Century : Future Scenarios for Governance, Democracy and Development, 1998-2025 (Ang Pilipinas Tungo Sa Ika-21 Dantaon: Pangkinabukasang Mga Senaryo para sa Pamamahala, Democracy, and Development, 1998-2025

by Abueva, Jose V.; Ocampo, Romeo B.; Medalla, Felipe M.; Alfiler, Concepcion P.; Domingo, Oliva Z.; Kintanar, Thelma B.

• ISBN13: 9789715422109
• ISBN10: 9715422101
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 1999-09-01
• Publisher: Univ of the Phillipines Pr

Table of Contents

PAMANA Foreword	xiv
Jose V. Abueva
Foreword: The Book on the Future	xvi
Acknowledgments	xix
Assessing the Philippine Nation-State and Building Scenarios for its Future Development
Our Research Objectives	3	(1)
The Philippine Nation-State	3	(2)
Some Key Issues	5	(2)
Our Methodology: Focused Interviews and Delphi Dialogues	7	(1)
Building Scenarios for the Future Development of the Philippine Nation-State, 1998--2025 and Beyond	8	(3)
Sustained, Progressive National Development	9	(1)
Decelerating and Stagnating National Development	9	(2)
National Deterioration and Decay	11	(1)
Approximating the Preferred Future and Avoiding the Undesired Futures	11	(1)
Forecasting the Most Probable Actual Scenario of National Development	12	(1)
Filipino visions of the Ideal Society and Future
Early Visions	13	(1)
Visions for the Republic Before and After World War II	13	(1)
The Vision of National Democracy and the Communist Society	14	(1)
The Marcos Democratic Revolution and the ``New Society''	14	(1)
The Vision of ``The Good Society'' and Democracy in the 1987 Constitution	14	(5)
Integrative Framework for Analyzing the Dimensions of National Development
The Future Development of the Philippine Nation-State: Scenario A: Sustained, Progressive National Development, 2025 and Beyond to 2075	19	(3)
Preface to Scenarios for Developments in its Social and Cultural, Economic, and Political Dimensions	22	(7)
Scenarios for the Future and Social and Cultural Development
Population, Social and Cultural Development	29	(3)
Nation-Building, Cultural Communities and Regional Autonomy	32	(4)
National Culture, Literature and the Arts	36	(1)
Civil Society	37	(2)
Science and Technology	39	(3)
Nutrition and Food Security	42	(1)
Health Conditions And Health Care	43	(5)
Education Needs	48	(1)
Philippine Human Development	49	(4)
Scenarios for the Future and Economic Development
Three Basic Scenarios and Issues for Future Economic Development	53	(1)
The Most Likely Scenario is the Middle Scenario	54	(2)
Some Problems and Issues	56	(2)
Poverty Reduction and Economic Growth	58	(3)
Industrialization and Economic Development	61	(1)
Industry, Labor and Globalization	62	(3)
Resource Mobilization	65	(2)
Environment and Sustainable Development	67	(3)
Scenarios for the Future and Political Development
Filipino Democracy: Consolidation and Development	70	(6)
Constitutionalism, The Rule of Law and Justice	76	(4)
Peace, Security and Political Stability	80	(3)
The Electoral System and Democratic Governance	83	(5)
The Party System and Democratic Governance	88	(2)
The Press/Media and Democratic Governance	90	(3)
The President, Democracy and Development	93	(3)
The Congress, Democracy and Development	96	(16)
Changing Form of Government, Legislature, and National-Local Relations	112
The Military and Democratic Governance	106	(1)
The Bureaucracy, Democracy and Development	107	(9)
Local/Regional Governance, Democracy and Development	116	(5)
Civil Society, Democracy and Development	121	(9)
A Dynamic and Changing Philippine State	130	(7)
Concluding Notes
Collective Assessments of the Past, Present and Future: Selected Variables in National Development	137	(15)
Comparative Assessment of the Selected Variables: 1946--1957 to 2025	152	(5)
Strategies, Trends and Prospects of Democratic Consolidation and Development	157	(11)
Conclusion	168	(1)
Political and Administrative Leaders for the 21st Century	168	(5)
References	173	(24)
Index	197	(18)
About the Authors	215	(2)
Co-authors3	217