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9780486288758

A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities

by
  • ISBN13:

    9780486288758

  • ISBN10:

    0486288757

  • Format: Paperback
  • Copyright: 1996-01-18
  • Publisher: Dover Publications
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Summary

This classic introduces the concepts and uses of probability theory. It demonstrates, without the use of higher mathematics, the application of probability to games of chance, physics, reliability of witnesses, astronomy, insurance, democratic government, and many other areas. It also shows how scientists can express complex ideas in simple terms.

Table of Contents

PART I. A PHILOSOPHICAL ESSAY ON PROBABILITIES
  CHAPTER I. Introduction
  CHAPTER II. Concerning Probability
  CHAPTER III. General Principles of the Calculus of Probabilities
  CHAPTER IV. Concerning Hope
  CHAPTER V. Analytical Methods of the Calculus of Probabilities
PART II APPLICATION OF THE CALCULUS OF PROBABILITIES
  CHAPTER VI. Games of Chance
  CHAPTER VII. Concerning the Unknown Inequalities which may Exist among Chances Supposed to be Equal
  CHAPTER VIII. Concerning the Laws of Probability which result from the Indefinite Multiplication of Events
  CHAPTER IX. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to Natural Philsophy
  CHAPTER X. Application of the Calculus of Probabilities to the Moral Sciences
  CHAPTER XI. Concerning the Probability of Testimonies
  CHAPTER XII. Concerning the Selections and Decisions of Assemblies
  CHAPTER XIII. Concerning the Probability of the Judgments of Tribunals
  "CHAPTER XIV. Concerning Tables of Mortality, and the Mean Durations of Life, Marriage, and Some Associations"
  CHAPTER XV. Concerning the Benefits of Institutions which Depend upon the Probability of Events
  CHAPTER XVI. Concerning Illusions in the Estimation of Probabilities
  CHAPTER XVII. Concerning the Various Means of Approaching Certainty
  CHAPTER XVIII. Historical Notice of the Calculus of Probabilities to 1816

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