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List of tables, figures and boxes | p. vii |
List of abbreviations | p. xi |
Glossary | p. xiii |
Foreword | p. ixx |
Acknowledgements | p. xxi |
10 key messages | p. xxiii |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Background on antibiotics | p. 9 |
What are antibiotics? | p. 9 |
Why antibiotics are important | p. 10 |
Externalities of antibiotics and AR | p. 11 |
Background on AR | p. 15 |
What is AR? | p. 15 |
Severity of AR | p. 16 |
AR trends in developed countries | p. 16 |
AR trends in developing countries | p. 20 |
Clinical and economic impact of AR | p. 21 |
Clinical outcomes | p. 21 |
Costs of resistance | p. 23 |
Causes of AR | p. 27 |
Misuse of antibiotics | p. 27 |
Physicians and health-care providers | p. 28 |
Livestock and agriculture | p. 31 |
Role of diagnostics in AR | p. 32 |
Role of vaccines in AR | p. 36 |
Examples from Europe | p. 37 |
Examples from the United States | p. 37 |
Lack of new antibiotics | p. 37 |
The antibiotic market | p. 38 |
Areas of unmet need | p. 43 |
Reasons for limited innovation | p. 49 |
Antibiotic restrictions deter pharmaceutical investment in R&D | p. 49 |
Challenges in the antibiotics market-NPV | p. 50 |
Regulatory environment | p. 53 |
Estimated cost of drug development | p. 54 |
Scientific challenges | p. 57 |
Health system responses to AR | p. 59 |
Examples from Europe | p. 61 |
Examples from the United States | p. 63 |
Analysis of opportunities and incentives to stimulate R&D for antibiotics | p. 67 |
Push incentives | p. 67 |
Increasing access to research | p. 68 |
Scientific personnel | p. 71 |
Direct funding of research | p. 71 |
Translational research | p. 77 |
Tax incentives | p. 79 |
PDPs | p. 83 |
Pull incentives | p. 89 |
Monetary prizes | p. 89 |
Advance market commitments | p. 95 |
Patent buyout | p. 100 |
Lego-regulatory mechanisms | p. 100 |
Clinical trials | p. 101 |
Intellectual property mechanisms | p. 106 |
Expedited regulatory review | p. 117 |
Pricing and reimbursement | p. 121 |
Liability protection | p. 126 |
Antitrust laws | p. 127 |
Sui generis rights | p. 127 |
Combined push-pull incentive models | p. 128 |
Orphan drug designation | p. 128 |
Call options for antibiotics model | p. 129 |
Conclusions | p. 137 |
Rationale for intervention in the antibiotics market | p. 137 |
Preserving the effective life of existing and new antibiotics | p. 139 |
Key concepts in incentive design | p. 141 |
Conclusions on individual incentives | p. 147 |
Direct public subsidy for basic research | p. 147 |
EU Council conclusions on innovative incentives | p. 159 |
US-EU joint declaration on creation of transatlantic taskforce on antimicrobial resistance | p. 161 |
Global vaccine research | p. 175 |
Possible funding mechanisms for a COA scheme | p. 177 |
References | p. 179 |
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