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List of Figures | p. xi |
List of Tables | p. xvii |
Preface | p. xix |
Introduction: Definition and Scope of Conflict Economics | p. 1 |
What Is Conflict Economics? | p. 1 |
A Look at Conflict Large and Small | p. 2 |
Methodology of Conflict Economics | p. 10 |
Organization of Book | p. 13 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 13 |
Production Possibilities and the Guns versus Butter Trade-Off | p. 15 |
Production Possibilities Model | p. 15 |
Applications | p. 21 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 27 |
Rational Choice and Equilibrium | p. 28 |
Rational Choice Model | p. 28 |
Supply, Demand, and Market Equilibrium | p. 43 |
A Taxonomy of Goods | p. 50 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 52 |
Fundamentals of Game Theory | p. 53 |
Basic Concepts | p. 53 |
Chicken and Prisoner's Dilemma Games | p. 59 |
Repeated Prisoner's Dilemma | p. 63 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 66 |
A Bargaining Model of Conflict | p. 67 |
Elements of Conflict | p. 67 |
Sources of Violent Conflict | p. 69 |
Third-Party Intervention | p. 78 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 81 |
Conflict between States | p. 83 |
The Conflict Cycle | p. 83 |
Patterns of Armed Interstate Conflict | p. 85 |
Hirshleïfer's Bargaining Model and Interstate War | p. 87 |
Selected Empirical Studies of Interstate Conflict | p. 92 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 101 |
Civil War and Genocide | p. 104 |
Definitions | p. 104 |
Patterns of Armed Civil Conflict and Genocide | p. 105 |
Theoretical Perspectives on Civil War | p. 113 |
Selected Empirical Studies of Civil War and Genocide | p. 118 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 124 |
Terrorism | p. 126 |
Defining Terrorism | p. 126 |
Patterns of Terrorism | p. 127 |
A Rational Choice Model of Terrorism | p. 132 |
Game Theoretic Perspectives of Terrorism | p. 139 |
Selected Empirical Studies of Terrorism | p. 146 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 153 |
Geography and Technology of Conflict | p. 155 |
Boulding's Model of Spatial Conflict | p. 155 |
O'Sullivan's Three-Dimensional Model of Spatial Conflict | p. 164 |
Schelling's Inherent Propensity toward Peace or War | p. 168 |
Number and Size of Nations | p. 174 |
Selected Empirical Studies | p. 179 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 183 |
Arms Rivalry, Proliferation, and Arms Control | p. 185 |
Definitions | p. 185 |
Patterns of Arms Rivalry, Proliferation, and Arms Control | p. 186 |
The Richardson Arms Race Model | p. 197 |
The Intriligator-Brito Model | p. 202 |
An Economic Choice Model of Arms Rivalry | p. 210 |
Selected Empirical Studies | p. 217 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 220 |
Military Alliances | p. 222 |
Definitions | p. 223 |
Patterns of Interstate Alliances | p. 226 |
Pure Public Good Model of Alliances | p. 229 |
Joint Product Model of Alliances | p. 237 |
Selected Empirical Studies | p. 240 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 244 |
Conflict Success Functions and the Theory of Appropriation Possibilities | p. 246 |
Conflict Success Functions | p. 246 |
A Model of Appropriation Possibilities | p. 249 |
Appropriation Possibilities in a Production/Exchange Economy | p. 256 |
Bibliographic Notes | p. 267 |
Statistical Methods | p. 269 |
Populations and Samples | p. 269 |
Probability and Sampling | p. 270 |
Expected Values and Unbiased Estimators | p. 272 |
Statistical Inference | p. 272 |
Regression Analysis | p. 274 |
A More Formal Bargaining Model of Conflict | p. 277 |
Basic Model of Resource Conflict | p. 277 |
Selected Sources of Violence | p. 280 |
References | p. 285 |
Author Index | p. 307 |
Subject Index | p. 315 |
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