Recruiting Minorities What Explains Recent Trends in the Army and Navy?

by Asch, Beth J.; Heaton, Paul; Savych, Bogdan

• ISBN13: 9780833047175
• ISBN10: 0833047175
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2009-10-16
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

Since 2000, black representation among high-quality recruits in the Army has decreased, while Hispanic representation has increased; in the Navy, black representation has remained stable and Hispanic representation has increased. The authors identify factors that explain these trends and consider which policies are likely to be most effective in increasing high-quality enlistments among black, Hispanic, and white youth.

Table of Contents

Preface	p. iii
Figures	p. ix
Tables	p. xiii
Summary	p. xv
Acknowledgments	p. xxiii
Abbreviations	p. xxv
Introduction	p. 1
Background on Recruiting	p. 5
Trends in Enlistments	p. 5
Trends in Army Enlistments	p. 5
Trends in Navy Enlistments	p. 10
Trends in Factors That May Affect Enlistments	p. 13
Trends in Recruiting Resources	p. 14
Trends in Navy Recruiting Resources	p. 20
Economic Factors	p. 22
Demographic Factors	p. 27
Political Factors	p. 30
Summary	p. 32
Methodology and Data	p. 33
Previous Literature	p. 33
Past Studies on the Enlistment Supply of Black and Hispanic Youth	p. 37
Methodology	p. 38
Variables and Data	p. 40
The Iraq War	p. 42
Bush Approval Rating	p. 42
Obesity	p. 43
Crime Rate	p. 43
Non citizen Share	p. 43
Other Modeling Considerations	p. 44
Rates Versus Counts	p. 44
Logs Versus Levels	p. 44
Race-Specific Measures	p. 44
Data Frequency	p. 45
Goals	p. 45
Army Results	p. 47
Estimated Effects from the Army Model	p. 47
Effects of Recruiting Resources	p. 49
Effects of the Iraq War	p. 53
Effects of the Unemployment Rate and Demographic Variables	p. 57
Effects of Goals	p. 60
Accounting for Recent Changes in Minority Representation	p. 62
Cost Calculations	p. 65
Summary	p. 70
Navy Results	p. 71
Estimated Effects from the Navy Model	p. 71
Effects of Recruiting Resources	p. 71
Effects of the Iraq War	p. 74
Effects of Unemployment and Demographic Variables	p. 76
Effects of Goals	p. 77
Accounting for Recent Changes in Minority Representation	p. 78
Cost Calculations	p. 79
Conclusions and Policy Implications	p. 83
Factors Explaining Trends in Minority Representation	p. 83
Looking Forward	p. 86
The Effects of the Iraq War	p. 86
Policy Options for Recruiting Minorities	p. 86
Bibliography	p. 89
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