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Gordon A. Fenton, PhD, PEng, is a Professor in the Department of Engineering Mathematics at Dalhousie University, Halifax, Nova Scotia. He is a core member and past chair of the American Society of Civil Engineers Geo-Institute Risk Assessment and Management Committee. He is also a core member, past acting chair, and secretary of the International Society of Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering Risk Assessment and Management Committee. Finally, he serves on the Canadian Highway Bridge Design Code Foundations Committee and is currently developing reliability-based geotechnical design provisions for the next edition of that code.
D. V. Griffiths, PhD, DSc, PE, is Professor of Civil Engineering at the Colorado School of Mines. He is a Fellow and Governor of the American Society of Civil Engineers and a member of the British Institution of Civil Engineers. He is the coauthor (with I.M. Smith) of two successful texts, Programming the Finite Element Method, Fourth Edition (Wiley) and Numerical Methods for Engineers, Second Edition.
Preface | |
Acknowledgements | |
Theory | |
Review of Probability Theory | |
Introduction | |
Basic Set Theory | |
Probability | |
Conditional Probability | |
Random Variables and Probability Distributions | |
Measures of Central Tendency, Variability, and Association | |
Linear Combinations of Random Variables | |
Functions of Random Variables | |
Common Discrete Probability Distributions | |
Common Continuous Probability Distributions | |
Extreme-Value Distributions | |
Discrete random Processes | |
Introduction | |
Discrete-Time, Discrete-State Markov Chains | |
Continuous-Time Markov Chains | |
Queueing Models | |
Random Fields | |
Introduction | |
Covariance Function | |
Spectral Density Function | |
Variance Function | |
Correlation Length | |
Some Common Models | |
Random Fields in Higher Dimensions | |
Best Estimates, Excursions, and Averages | |
Best Linear Unbiased Estimation | |
Threshold Excursions in One Dimension | |
Threshold Excursions in Two Dimensions | |
Averages | |
Estimation | |
Introduction | |
Choosing a Distribution | |
Estimation in Presence of Correlation | |
Advanced Estimation Techniques | |
Simulation | |
Introduction | |
Random-Number Generators | |
Generating Nonuniform Random Variables | |
Generating Random Fields | |
Conditional Simulation of Random Fields | |
Monte carlo Simulation | |
Reliability-Based Design | |
Acceptable Risk | |
Assessing Risk | |
Background to Design Methodologies | |
Load and Resistance Factor Design | |
Going Beyond Calibration | |
Risk-Based Decision making | |
Practice | |
Groundwater Modeling | |
Introduction | |
Finite-Element Model | |
One-Dimensional Flow | |
Simple Two-Dimensional Flow | |
Two-Dimensional Flow Beneath Water-Retaining Structures | |
Three-Dimensional Flow | |
Three Dimensional Exit Gradient Analysis | |
Flow Through Earth Dams | |
Statistics of Flow Through Earth Dams | |
Extreme Hydraulic Gradient Statistics | |
Settlement of Shallow Foundations | |
Introduction | |
Two-Dimensional Probabilistic Foundation Settlement | |
Three-Dimensional Probabilistic Foundation Settlement | |
Strip Footing Risk Assessment | |
Resistance Factors for Shallow-Foundation Settlement Design | |
Bearing Capacity | |
Strip Footings on c-ø Soils | |
Load and Resistance Factor Design of Shallow Foundations | |
Summary | |
Deep Foundations | |
Introduction | |
Random Finite-Element Method | |
Monte Carlo Estimation of Pile Capacity | |
Summary | |
Slope Stability | |
Introduction | |
Probabilistic Slope Stability Analysis | |
Slope Stability Reliability Model | |
Earth Pressure | |
Introduction | |
Passive Earth Pressures | |
Active Earth Pressures: Retaining Wall Reliability | |
Mine Pillar Capacity | |
Introduction | |
Literature | |
Parametric Studies | |
Probabilistic Interpretation | |
Summary | |
Liquefaction | |
Introduction | |
Model Size: Soil Liquefaction | |
Monte Carlo Analysis and Results | |
Summary | |
Appendixes | |
Probability Tables | |
Normal Distribution | |
Inverse Student t-Distribution | |
Inverse Chi-Square Distribution | |
Numerical Integra | |
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