Russia 2010 And What It Means for the World

by Yergin, Daniel; Gustafson, Thane

• ISBN13: 9780679759225
• ISBN10: 0679759220
• Edition: Reprint
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 1995-02-14
• Publisher: Vintage

Summary

2010: Russia disintegrates as its frontier regions rebel or drift into the orbit of neighboring countries. 2010: Russia is invigorated by an economic chudo -- "miracle" -- that turns it into a thriving exemplar of the free market. 2010: Russia becomes a grim military dictatorship, bent on expansion. This brilliant and visionary book, which is based on a confidential report by the international consulting firm CERA, offers several persuasively detailed scenarios of Russia's future. Using the management technique of "scenario planning" and drawing on an extensive knowledge of Russia's political and economic history, Daniel Yergin and Thane Gustafson have produced a study that is already shaping the investment strategies of major corporations and that will become an essential text in the policy debates about the next century. Russia 2010 captures in a timely way the changes shaking Russia and the former Soviet Union after Communism. The result is one of those rare books that not only predict the future but have the power to change it.

Author Biography

Daniel Yergin is a highly respected authority on energy, international politics, and economics. Yergin is a Pulitzer Prize winner and recipient of the United States Energy Award for “lifelong achievements in energy and the promotion of international understanding.” He is both a world-recognized author and a business leader, as well as executive vice president of IHS.Yergin received the Pulitzer Prize for his work The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money and Power, which became a number one bestseller and was made into an eight-hour PBS/BBC series seen by 20 million people in the United States. The book has been translated into 17 languages and has been released in an updated edition.Yergin holds a BA from Yale University and a PhD from Cambridge University, where he was a Marshall Scholar.

Table of Contents

Preface	xvii
Joseph Stanislaw
1: "The World Behind the Mirror"	3	(18)
PART I: AFTER THE FALL	21	(24)
2: The New Russian Revolution	21	(24)
PART II: THE BUILDING BLOCKS	45	(88)
3: The Battle for Power	45	(13)
4: The Big Engine That Couldn't	58	(8)
5: The Implosion of Empire	66	(9)
6: Players and Prime Movers	75	(26)
7: That the Guard Not Tire	101	(9)
8: The Rough Road to the Market	110	(23)
PART III: THE SCENARIOS: STORIES OF THE FUTURE	133	(64)
9: Muddling Down	133	(14)
10: Two-Headed Eagle	147	(11)
11: The Time of Troubles: Chaos and Reaction	158	(19)
The Long Good-bye	162	(7)
The Russian Bear	169	(8)
12: Chudo: The Russian Economic Miracle	177	(20)
PART IV: LOOKING AROUND THE CORNER	197	(41)
13: Capitalism Russian-Style: 2010 and Beyond	197	(12)
14: Chudo at Work--The New Russian Entrepreneurs: "Evident but Unbelievable"	209	(7)
15: Surprises	216	(22)
PART V: WHAT IT MEANS FOR THE WORLD	238	(63)
16: The Return of a Great Power with Angela Stent	238	(27)
17: Who Pays for the Plowshares? Foreign Investors and the New Capitalists	265	(20)
18: Russia and the West	285	(16)
Appendix Newly Independent States of the Former Soviet Union	301	(3)
Notes	304	(8)
Acknowledgments	312	(4)
Index	316
MAPS
The Former Soviet Union	xiv
Ethnic Russians in the Former Soviet Union	254