Scenario Innovation: Experiences from a European Experimental Garden

by van Asselt; Marjolein

• ISBN13: 9789058096845
• ISBN10: 905809684X
• Format: Hardcover
• Copyright: 2005-07-30
• Publisher: CRC Press

Summary

The key theme of Scenario Innovation - Experiences from a European Experimental Garden is one that constantly challenges decision-makers: dealing with complexity. One way is to envision the future - which is precisely what the Visions project, the European experiment referred to in the title, set out to do. This book contributes to an understanding of complexity by addressing the question of how to design and structure envisioning processes. The authors propose an integration method for multi-scale integrated assessments of the future. Issues addressed in this study on the future of Europe involve energy, climate change, water, transport, infrastructure, environmental degradation, consumption, employment and equity.

Table of Contents

Acknowledgements	vii
Preface: Visions of Europe	xi
Carlo Trojan
The Experimental Garden	1	(7)
Introduction	1	(1)
Ambitions and necessary innovations	2	(3)
Choices	5	(1)
Content of the book	6	(2)
The Global Context	8	(15)
Introduction	8	(1)
Economic capital	8	(5)
Ecological capital	13	(4)
Social capital	17	(4)
Summary	21	(2)
The Visions Approach	23	(46)
Introduction	23	(1)
Overview of approaches	23	(3)
Methodologies for developing the regional and European scenarios	26	(30)
Integrating methodology: from scenarios to visions	56	(6)
From pairs to visions	62	(5)
Overview	67	(2)
Regional and European Scenarios	69	(80)
Introduction	69	(1)
Views on the Green Heart	69	(14)
Views on Northwest United Kingdom	83	(14)
Views on Venice	97	(14)
Europe in perspective	111	(38)
Integrated Visions	149	(26)
Introduction	149	(1)
2050: Europe in transition	150	(8)
2050: Living on the edge	158	(10)
2050: Europe Ltd	168	(7)
Experiences from an Experimental Garden	175	(14)
Most important lesson: it is the journey, not the destination	176	(1)
Methodological lessons	177	(5)
Insights pertaining to a sustainable future for Europe	182	(3)
Conclusion	185	(4)
References	189	(6)
Index	195