Turkey's New Geopolitics

by Fuller, Graham E.; Lesser, Ian O.; Henze, Paul; Brown, James F.

• ISBN13: 9780813386607
• ISBN10: 0813386608
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 1993-06-03
• Publisher: Westview Pr

Summary

With the astonishing transformations in the geopolitics of the world since the collapse of the Soviet Union, Turkey has been profoundly affected by the changes on its periphery. For the first time since the beginning of the century, a Turkic world has blossomed, giving Turkey potential new foreign policy clout from the Balkans across the Caucasus and into Central Asia and Western China.These geopolitical opportunities have dramatically changed the character of Turkey itself, once an isolationist, Eurocentered NATO ally. At the same time, Turkey has undergone an internal evolution over the last decade, making it an attractive model of Middle Eastern development because of its increasingly free market, democratic governance, and secularist outlook.This book explores the character of the new Turkey, assessing its foreign policy options and interpreting the significance of those choices for the Middle East, Central Asia, Europe, and the United States.

Author Biography

Graham E. Fuller is a senior political scientist at RAND. Ian O. Lesser is a member of the International Policy Department at RAND. Paul B. Henze is a resident consultant at RAND. J. F. Brown is a consultant at RAND and Distinguished Scholar in Residence at the RFE/RL (Radio Liberty) Research Institute in Munich.

Table of Contents

Foreword	vii
Ambassador Morton Abramowitz
Preface	xiii
Turkey: Toward the Twenty-First Century	1	(36)
Paul B. Henze
Social, Economic, and Political Trends	2	(19)
New Challenges and Opportunities	21	(10)
Notes	31	(6)
Turkey's New Eastern Orientation	37	(62)
Graham E. Fuller
The Impact of Turkey's Domestic Change on Its Foreign Policy	38	(11)
Turkey and the Arabs	49	(16)
Turkey and Iran	65	(1)
Turkey and Central Asia	66	(10)
Turkey and the Caucasus	76	(10)
Turkey and Russia	86	(5)
Conclusion	91	(1)
Notes	92	(7)
Bridge or Barrier? Turkey and the West After the Cold War	99	(42)
Ian O. Lesser
Bridge or Barrier Between East and West?	100	(4)
Turkey and Europe	104	(11)
The Security Dimension	115	(6)
Turkey and the United States	121	(7)
Overall Observations and Conclusions	128	(2)
Implications and Recommendations for U.S. Policy	130	(2)
Notes	132	(9)
Turkey: Back to the Balkans?	141	(22)
J. F. Brown
After World War II	142	(2)
Balkan Instability	144	(1)
Muslim Flashpoints in the Balkans	145	(5)
The Turkish Response	150	(2)
Pressure on Turkey	152	(3)
The Black Sea Project: A Peaceful Initiative	155	(3)
Notes	158	(5)
Conclusions: The Growing Role of Turkey in the World	163	(22)
Graham E. Fuller
How Does Turkey Matter to the United States?	164	(4)
The Turkish Domestic Debate	168	(6)
Turkey's National Interests	174	(4)
Turkey, Europe, NATO, and the United States	178	(4)
Notes	182	(3)
About the Book	185	(2)
About the Authors	187	(2)
Index	189