The United States and Asia Toward a New U.S. Strategy and Force Posture

by Khalilzad, Zalmay; Orletsky, David T.; Goldberg, Daniel S.; Pollpeter, Kevin; Rabasa, Angel M.

• ISBN13: 9780833029553
• ISBN10: 083302955X
• Format: Paperback
• Copyright: 2001-06-12
• Publisher: RAND Corporation

Summary

In the past 20 years, Asia has experienced tremendous economic growth, an expansion of democratic institutions and relative peace. Although several countries suffered economic upheavals in the late 90s, most have recovered, with the notable exception of Indonesia.

But serious problems could arise in a number of countries: between India and Pakistan, China and Taiwan, in Indonesia or the Korean peninsula. The authors examine future directions for the region, and offer alternatives for adapting United States strategy.

Table of Contents

Preface	p. iii
Figures	p. vii
Tables	p. ix
Summary	p. xi
Acknowledgments	p. xix
Acronyms	p. xxi
Introduction: the Usaf and Asia	p. 1
The Changing Asian Political-Military Environment	p. 3
Is Asia Heading Toward Rivalry?	p. 3
A Period of Relative Peace: 1980-2000	p. 3
Will It Continue?	p. 4
Whither a Unified Korea?	p. 7
The U.S.-Japan Alliance	p. 13
Adjusting to the Emergence of China	p. 16
India's Future Role	p. 24
Pakistan as a Failed State?	p. 31
The Future of Russia	p. 32
South China Sea	p. 35
Indonesia as a Disintegrating State?	p. 38
Vietnam as a Significant Actor?	p. 40
Conclusion	p. 41
U.S. Strategy for a Changing Asia	p. 43
U.S. Objectives in the Region	p. 43
Strategic Options	p. 45
A Proposed U.S. Strategy for Asia	p. 46
Adapting the U.S. Position in Northeast Asia	p. 48
South China Sea	p. 53
South Asia	p. 54
Implications for the Military and Usaf: the Challenges of Change	p. 57
Shaping the Asian Security Environment	p. 57
Responding to Crises	p. 59
Northeast Asia	p. 63
Taiwan	p. 66
Southeast Asia	p. 75
South Asia	p. 78
Missile Defense	p. 84
Bolstering Overall U.S. Posture in Asia	p. 87
The Long Term	p. 88
Appendix
The Changing Political-Military Environment: Northeast Asia	p. 91
The Changing Political-Military Environment: China	p. 137
The Changing Political-Military Environment: Southeast Asia	p. 163
The Changing Political-Military Environment: South Asia	p. 203
Bibliography	p. 241
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