JEFF AUGEN, currently a private investor and writer, has spent over a decade building a unique intellectual property portfolio of algorithms and software for technical analysis of derivatives prices. His work includes over one million lines of computer code refl ecting powerful new strategies for trading equity, index, and futures options. As co-founding executive of IBM’s Life Sciences Computing business, Augen defined a growth strategy resulting in $1.2B of new revenue and managed a large portfolio of venture capital investments. From 2002 to 2005, he was President and CEO of TurboWorx, Inc., a technical computing software company founded by the chairman of the Department of Computer Science at Yale University. He is author of Bioinformatics in the Post-Genomic Era: Genome, Transcriptome, Proteome, and Information-Based Medicine (Addison-Wesley, 2004).
Acknowledgments | p. xi |
About the Author | p. xii |
Preface | p. xiii |
A Guide for Readers | p. xv |
Introduction | p. 1 |
Price Discovery and Market Stability | p. 6 |
Practical Limitations of Technical Charting | p. 9 |
Background and Terms | p. 12 |
Securing a Technical Edge | p. 16 |
Endnote | p. 21 |
Fundamentals of Option Pricing | p. 23 |
Random Walks and Brownian Motion | p. 25 |
The Black-Scholes Pricing Model | p. 29 |
The Greeks: Delta, Gamma, Vega, Theta, and Rho | p. 32 |
Binomial Trees: An Alternative Pricing Model | p. 42 |
Summary | p. 45 |
Further Reading | p. 45 |
Endnotes | p. 46 |
Volatility | p. 47 |
Volatility and Standard Deviation | p. 48 |
Calculating Historical Volatility | p. 50 |
Profiling Price Change Behavior | p. 61 |
Summary | p. 75 |
Further Reading | p. 76 |
General Considerations | p. 77 |
Bid-Ask Spreads | p. 79 |
Volatility Swings | p. 82 |
Put-Call Parity Violations | p. 89 |
Liquidity | p. 91 |
Summary | p. 95 |
Further Reading | p. 97 |
Endnotes | p. 97 |
Managing Basic Option Positions | p. 99 |
Single-Sided Put and Call Positions | p. 100 |
Straddles and Strangles | p. 118 |
Covered Calls and Puts | p. 137 |
Synthetic Stock | p. 143 |
Summary | p. 146 |
Further Reading | p. 148 |
Endnotes | p. 149 |
Managing Complex Positions | p. 151 |
Calendar and Diagonal Spreads | p. 152 |
Ratios | p. 162 |
Ratios That Span Multiple Expiration Dates | p. 175 |
Complex Multipart Trades | p. 182 |
Hedging with the VIX | p. 195 |
Summary | p. 202 |
Further Reading | p. 203 |
Endnotes | p. 204 |
Trading the Earnings Cycle | p. 205 |
Exploiting Earnings-Associated Rising Volatility | p. 207 |
Exploiting Post-Earnings Implied Volatility Collapse | p. 216 |
Summary | p. 222 |
Endnote | p. 223 |
Trading the Expiration Cycle | p. 225 |
The Final Trading Day | p. 226 |
The Days Preceding Expiration | p. 237 |
Summary | p. 240 |
Further Reading | p. 242 |
Endnotes | p. 242 |
Building a Toolset | p. 243 |
Some Notes on Data Visualization Tools | p. 245 |
Database Infrastructure Overview | p. 248 |
Data Mining | p. 252 |
Statistical Analysis Facility | p. 258 |
Trade Modeling Facility | p. 264 |
Summary | p. 268 |
Endnotes | p. 269 |
Index | p. 271 |
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