About the Authors | p. ix |
Acknowledgements | p. xi |
Introduction | p. xiii |
The Cycles of Climate and Water | p. 1 |
Summary | p. 1 |
Introduction | p. 1 |
The influence of the sun | p. 2 |
Long-term oscillations of the oceans | p. 4 |
Longer term climatic cycle | p. 12 |
The crustal cycle | p. 13 |
Water Circulation and Conservation | p. 19 |
Controlling, preserving and using water | p. 24 |
Distributing and husbanding water | p. 27 |
Regenerating water | p. 28 |
The Coming Food Deficit | p. 37 |
Summary | p. 37 |
Introduction | p. 37 |
Vulnerability of crops | p. 39 |
Major crops | p. 43 |
People and Climatic Shifts | p. 49 |
Summary | p. 49 |
Introduction | p. 49 |
Five Hundred-Year Cycle | p. 50 |
Hundred Year Cycle | p. 56 |
The Coming Wave of Refugees | p. 65 |
Summary | p. 65 |
Introduction | p. 65 |
Political spite | p. 66 |
Famine | p. 70 |
Mass migrations | p. 72 |
Economic migration | p. 74 |
Displacement diseases | p. 74 |
Present attitudes to refugees | p. 78 |
An approach towards a solution | p. 79 |
Dealing with the refugee problem | p. 80 |
Prospects for Conflicts over Water and the Basis for Peace in the Middle East | p. 85 |
Summary | p. 85 |
Introduction | p. 85 |
The needs of water | p. 86 |
Unemployment | p. 99 |
Seven scenarios for the region | p. 99 |
Potential for Conflicts over Water in the East | p. 105 |
Summary | p. 105 |
Introduction | p. 105 |
Drought Rating | p. 106 |
Water deficient countries | p. 108 |
Water surplus countries | p. 115 |
Alternative scenarios | p. 118 |
Water and Technology | p. 121 |
Summary | p. 121 |
Introduction | p. 121 |
Desalinisation | p. 121 |
Blue Gold | p. 133 |
Afterword | p. 141 |
Water | p. 142 |
Religious terrorism | p. 143 |
Credit crunch | p. 144 |
Individuals | p. 146 |
Industry and commerce | p. 147 |
State | p. 147 |
Stages of required action | p. 149 |
Index | p. 159 |
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